My Business Writings

Tuesday, June 23, 2015

Developing PPP Policy Framework for a State in India

The Context for Development of PPP Framework

The creation of new State after the bifurcation of the erstwhile State of united Andhra Pradesh in to Telangana and Andhra Pradesh (AP), the leadership of new truncated State of Andhra Pradesh sensed a huge opportunity in infrastructure development, including development of a new capital city. The statutory provision that created the two states did provide for the federal Government of India to provide for new infrastructure development in the State but the need for financial resources is so high and the federal government is itself struggling with fiscal deficits that the leadership in Government of Andhra Pradesh have given in to the inevitability of public private partnerships (PPPs).

This is challenging in India given that there is a widespread perception about failure of PPP as a business model for public services and infrastructure development. Cases of botched up tender processes, litigations, re-negotiations, unilateral terminations and delays leading to unbelievable cost overruns are commonplace. Cases of corruption charges and scams are also not uncommon. Articles and research reports in journals write frequently about errors in transaction structuring, competitive bid process management and further in project monitoring and payments processing that have led to failures of several big ticket projects. Large scale annuity projects taken up in a few states have also been seen to expose them to fiscal risks which were not identified earlier due to poor fiscal accounting and management practices.

With these contextual setting, and large private sector enthusiasm in investment and development of infrastructure in Andhra Pradesh, the leadership of the State constituted a committee of Secretaries headed by Special Chief Secretary to Government of Andhra Pradesh, with Principal Secretary Finance being Member-Convener and the Principal Secretaries of the departments of Transport, Roads & Buildings; Irrigation; Infrastructure & Investment; and Panchayati Raj & Rural Water Supply (PR & RWS) as members. The committee appointed Administrative Staff College of India as consultant to advise the Committee on the development of framework for PPP policy and guidelines for the departments of the government to follow. I was the project leader of the consulting team working on the assignment.

The state of Andhra Pradesh prior to bifurcation had a state legislation called the Andhra Pradesh Infrastructure Development Enabling Act, 2001, which the new state has inherited. Upon review of this legislation, it was observed that it was merely statement of intent and comprised largely of definitions, which were meant to be refined by implementing rules and regulations to be formulated and promulgated by executive orders, but were not done. The first question therefore was whether to re-write a new law that the State Legislative Assembly could enact or to focus on policies, rules, regulations or guidelines that may not need legislative approval. The Committee had to go back to the Chief Minister of the State to seek the response. In view of political manoeuvring and time required for a new piece of legislation, the Chief Minister advised a policy framework and detailed guideline that could be developed within the constraints of existing law.

The work began with the assessment of need for a policy framework. The following table presents some of the key areas that have led to the perception of failure of PPPs:

Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, Government of India developed a draft PPP Policy in 2011, and also published draft PPP Rules in 2012. The Planning Commission, Government of India has come out with the following documents:

       Compendium of PPP related guidelines
       Model RFQ document
       Model RFP document
       Model Concession Agreements (sector-wise)
       Project Appraisal Mechanism
       Project Monitoring Mechanism

Government of Andhra Pradesh had come out with A P Infrastructure Development Enabling Act, 2001 (APIDEA).  Several States also have formulated their PPP Policies / PPP Acts / PPP Guidelines and have legislated statutory provisions for PPP projects – Gujarat, Karnataka, Odisha, Punjab, Bihar, Goa, Assam and Madhya Pradesh.

Among the States Andhra Pradesh was the first to legislate an Act titled, “Andhra Pradesh Infrastructure Development Enabling Act, 2001”  for enabling infrastructure development through PPPs. This was a reform towards the goal of “Swarna Andhra Pradesh – a State that is economically and socially viable in all respects by 2020”. The Act was legislated to create an enabling investment environment for infrastructure developers and operators.

It must be stated that while APIDEA was a pioneering piece of legislation, the follow up rules and regulations that the Act proposed have not been formulated yet. The Andhra Pradesh Infrastructure Development Enabling Act, 2001 was passed for the purpose of providing legislative and regulatory framework for supporting infrastructure development through private sector participation. It was last amended in 2006. As per section 79 of the Act, to carry out all or nay of the purposes of this Act, rules are need to be made.  


The Key Features of the PPP Framework

The framework consists of the following key features that will be expanded in scope, detailed in their application and procedures in the guidelines and manuals.

  1. PPP Definition & PPP Policy
  2. Structure /Models and their applicability
  3. Scope of PPP - with regard to sectors
  4. Project development cycle
  5. Institutional arrangements and approval process
  6. Procurement process (including role of Swiss challenge)
  7. Financing and state support - project development fund /VGF/Capacity building / PMU
  8. Project Appraisal Mechanism
  9. Risk management
  10. Project Monitoring Mechanism
  11. PPP Research & Development

 The PPP Definition and Application

The APIDE Act, 2001 defines PPP as “Public Private Partnership means Investment by Private Sector Participant in an Infrastructure Project of the Government Agency or the Local Authority in the State.”

National PPP Policy 2011 (Draft) defines PPP as “Public Private Partnership means an arrangement between a government / statutory entity / government owned entity on one side and a private sector entity on the other, for the provision of public assets and/or public services, through investments being made and/or management being undertaken by the private sector entity, for a specified period of time, where there is well defined allocation of risk between the private sector and the public entity and the private entity receives performance linked payments that conform (or are benchmarked) to specified and pre-determined performance standards, measurable by the public entity or its representative.

Some of the key elements of the definition are:

        Investments being made by and/or management undertaken by the private sector entity: The arrangement could provide for financial investment and/or non-financial investment by the private sector; the intent of the arrangement is to harness the private sector efficiency in the delivery of quality services to the users.
        Operations or management for a specified period: The arrangement cannot be in perpetuity. After a pre-determined time period, the arrangement with the private sector entity comes to a closure.
        Risk sharing with the private sector: Mere outsourcing contracts are not PPPs.
        Performance linked payments & Conformance to performance standards: The central focus is on performance and not merely provision of facility or service.  The focus is on a strong element of service delivery aspect and compliance to pre-determined and measurable standards to be specified by the Sponsoring Authority.
The definition of APIDEA needs to be enhanced through the guidelines, and subsequently through amendment in the Act itself.

Without prejudice to definition, the PPP model of infrastructure development must meet the following conditions:

       Public good
       Budgetary constraints
       Value for money
       Certainty of outcomes/efficiency reasons
       Sustainable development reasons
Reasons for selection of PPP must be documented in the business case development for the infrastructure project.

Infrastructure projects which are considered critical for public services and that do not have high financial resource commitment from the Government may be taken up as public project

Line Departments may be encouraged to come up with such thresholds of financial floors as may be appropriate for their sector which will set the minimum project size for PPPs.

The PPP Models

Many forms of a partnership between public and private sectors exist that are selected depending on the investment objectives, political environment, nature of the assets and the level of private sector participation.

The following represents the entire spectrum of business models for PPPs – for new services and facilities; and existing services and facilities.



  • Design-Build
  • Design-Build-Maintain
  • Design-Build-Operate
  • Design-Build-Operate-Maintain
  • Build-Own-Operate-Maintain
  • Build-Own-Operate
And

  • Service contracts
  • Management contracts
  • Lease
  • Concessions
  • Divestitures

For each of these, PPP Guidelines need to be established for applicability of the PPP models based on:
       Project capital outlay
       Capacity in the Government Agency to perform works and manage assets/services
       Risk profile of the project
       Financial feasibility and the ability to generate revenues and returns for private participation


The Sector Scope for PPPs


The AIDEA specifies the sectors in which the PPP projects may be identified but the list is not a structured one. The Framework and Guidelines attempt to provide a sectoral structure for the projects. Some of the proposed sectors and areas of PPP projects within them, which have been used in PPP frameworks/legislations/policy documents in comparison to the list in APIDEA are as mentioned in the table below:

Government of India List:  These are eligible for funding under VGF & IIPDF Schemes
  • Roads and Bridges, railways, seaports, airports, inland waterways;
  • Power;
  • Urban transport, water supply, sewerage, solid waste management and other physical infrastructure in urban areas;
  • Infrastructure projects in Special Economic Zones;
  • International convention centers and other tourism infrastructure projects;
  • Education, Health, Skill Development;
  • Storage and Irrigation.
As per AP IDE Act, 2001 (Projects not covered in GOI list)

  • Roads include State Highways, Major District Roads, Other District Roads & Village Roads.
  • Land Reclamation
  • Canals, Dams
  • Water treatment and distribution
  • Drainage
  • Public Markets
  • Trade Fair, Convention, Exhibition and Cultural Centres
  • Public Buildings
  • Gas and Gas Works
  • Sports and recreation infrastructure, public gardens and parks
  • Real Estate
  • Any other Projects or sectors as may be notified by the Government
As per Other State Governments (Projects not covered in GOI list & A P List)

Gujarat:
  • Power Generation, Transmission and Distribution System
  • Industrial Estates and Industrial Parks
  • Information technology related projects
  • Fisheries not beyond territorial waters
  • Development of minor minerals
Karnataka:
  • Agri-infrastructure
  • Renewable and non-conventional energy sources
  • Hotels, resorts
  • Urban transport systems: MRTS, LRTS, Monorail, BRTS
  • Mechanised and multi-storey parking facilities
  • Desalination
As per Other State Governments (Projects not covered in GOI list & A P List)

Punjab:
  • Flood control infrastructure
  • Medical and health care facilities and Medical Research and Education facilities
  • Environment and pollution control infrastructure including effluent treatment plants
  • Streets and lighting
  • Civil Aviation including airports, flying clubs, aviation training institutes, airport city side development, airport aviation & non-aviation facilities.
Assam:
  • Disaster Management

Rajasthan:
  • Art  and Culture
  • Welfare of Scheduled Castes, Scheduled Tribes and other Backward Classes
  • Welfare of Women and Children
  • Labour and Employment
  • Social Security and Welfare
  • Nutrition
  • Soil and Water Conservation
  • Animal Husbandry
  • Forestry and Wild Life

Bihar, Goa, Madhya Pradesh, Orissa:  They have not covered any additional sectors apart from the above.


For a given project under any of the potential areas identified above, the feasibility of PPP needs to be assessed for viability, desirability and achievability. Value for Money framework is recommended to assess the trade-off between risk / ownership transfer and investments.


The Project Development Cycle for PPPs


The framework captures the essence of project development cycle for PPP projects, from genesis to implementation and operations. The phases of the PPP projects are mentioned below:



  • Genesis
  • Feasibility
  • Preparation
  • Procurement
  • Implementation
  • Operations
The guidelines will dovetail into the details that will be required to be captured in each of these phases for project development, including their contents.

For example, the business case for a project, as part of genesis, may include the following:

        nature, scale and significance of the need to the public
        value of need
        type of specification - input or output
        complexity of the need including innovation level
        attractiveness to the market
        market capacity
        timescale and phasing
        level of understanding of the need by stakeholders and potential suppliers.

One of the important considerations is the exit strategy that is required to be considered as part of project preparation and planning documentation. In the absence of exit strategy, the project in the event of an unforeseen circumstance may lead to no option for the Government but to hold on and rely on the private partner indefinitely. Exit strategies must be devised for major default by an organisation; this may include contractual breaches or changed circumstances - market, political, economic, funding resulting in major procurement need changes, financial resulting in non-payment of supplier’s invoices; major default by the supplier; this may include breaches, technical inability, capacity, and so on; or frustration of the contract.

The Institutional Arrangement

The project development cycle has different phases which require contributions from various organs of the Government as the various capabilities are located in these organs. The framework proposes the following broad roles of the organs of the Government of AP in various stages of PPP projects:


The guidelines that will draw from the framework will detail the responsibilities and process flows in these organs of the Government of Andhra Pradesh during a typical PPP project life cycle.
It is envisaged that the guidelines will be defined in alignment with Draft PPP Rules, 2012 of Department of Economic Affairs, Government of India and approval process for PPP will be in alignment with State Government project approval process.

The Procurement Process


The procurement process is key in the success of PPP projects as it determines the outcome of conceptualization, planning and all the other preparatory work. The procurement process is also the one which has been the most accused of leading to failures of PPP due several reasons ranging from lack of preparations to amenability to corruption.

The framework proposes the following cornerstones for procurement process:

        Value for money – procuring goods and services at optimal cost, having regard to issues such as policy, performance standards, risk management and life cycle costs.
        Open and fair competition – maximising the opportunity for firms and individuals to compete for business.
        Accountability – allocating responsibility for compliance with policy and adoption of best practice.
        Risk Management – adopting management strategies to minimise risk in tendering and contract management. Generally, risk should be managed by the party best able to manage the specific risk.
        Probity and transparency – ensuring fairness, impartiality, consistency and transparency in all stages of the tendering phase.
        Local Industry Participation – using local suppliers whenever and wherever they offer best value for money.

The framework also proposes the following processes for competitive bidding:

        Expression of Interest (EOI)
        Request for Qualification (RFQ)
       Technical
       Financial
       Managerial
        Pre-bid meeting and enquiries
        Request for Proposal (RFP)
       Technical
       Financial
        Amendments
        Letter of Award (LOA)
        Contract

The guidelines will detail the applicability of each of these processes.

The guidelines will draw from the Central Vigilance Commission’s guidelines for procurements for pre-award and post-award stages.

The guidelines will also specifically cover the processes of procurements for Swiss Challenge method and procurements where business model chosen is that of annuity payments.

The framework proposes that the processes of procurement, based on their suitability for e-procurement, may be made electronic and wherever chosen, the system requirements for e-procurement must be specified clearly and time must be provided to deal with any electronic faults to be made good in collaborative manner.

The framework also advocates the tenet of transparency. All the documents pertaining to the PPP projects must be made publicly available, post award wherever appropriate. These may include:

       Project selection
       Design and Feasibility Studies
       Bidding documents
       Concession Agreements
       Any amendments to the Agreements


The Financing and State Support for PPP Projects


The PPP projects must specify State support required for the project and quantify the support in project documents. These must be taken into account to determine project feasibility and for granting approvals. These must be studied on a case to case basis.

APIDEA provides for the following kind of support to PPP projects by the State:

        Administrative Support
        Asset Based Support
        Foregoing Revenue Streams
        Guarantees
        Financial Support

The financial support may be provided upon careful examination in cases where it is critical for the State to support the project financially.

Annuity based projects are not preferred. PPPs based on annuity models are of the nature of borrowings and hence, must be tracked for exposures as they limit the budgetary flexibility of the Government. The maximum annuity commitment of any Line Department of Government should not exceed 20% of the budgetary outlay for that Line Department at any point of time.

The Project Appraisal Mechanism


The project must be critically appraised for its value for money.
Project feasibility assessment must include the following and these must be documented:

       Demand assessment,
       Technical feasibility,
       Financial / economic viability,
       Strategic fit, and
       Environmental impact

Value for Money should be considered as the criterion for justification of projects, apart from the other economic measures such as payback period, net present value, internal rate of return, or economic value added.

Risk Management


Risk identification, measurement and management plan must be incorporated as part of the entire project development cycle and there must be risk management plans in feasibility reports and other project implementation documents.

The framework proposes the following considerations for the risk management:

        DPR will identify project risks and their mitigation plan
        PPP structure selection should be based on optimal sharing of risks
        Risk register to be part of DPR to include:
       Identified risks – definitions, drivers, and impacts
       Identified control principles
       Identified mitigation measures
       Process for dealing with un-identifiable risks
        The Concession Agreement to reflect the risk management mechanism

Project Monitoring and Review Mechanism


One of the reasons often cited in the failure of PPP projects is poor project monitoring and review. Project monitoring and review helps discover slippages, and address those and helps in taking appropriate corrective actions prior to the project running into delays and cost overruns.

The framework proposes the following two units for project monitoring and review:

1.  PPP Project Monitoring Unit – housed in Project Implementing Departments for the purpose of project progress assessment and facilitation; project implementation and development specific risks need to monitored and mitigated 

2.  PPP Project Review Unit – housed in the PPP Cell to administer commercial risk assessments and advise Line Department for remedial measures



The capacity building for these two units may take place through engagements with APIA and PPP Cell.

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

Coal Sector Chaos – Genesis to Revelation - And my views on the way forward

“Let there be light”, intends the government of India but the fuel side of the story paints a blackout. The recent Supreme Court judgement about illegality of coal block allocation has put a question mark on the sustainability of growth in capacity addition in power generation. The trouble however is not a black swan event; it had been brewing for years.

When coal mines were nationalized in 1971-73 in two phases, the provision for captive coal mining was retained to allow for continuation of coking coal mines of then called TISCO, IISCO and DVC. This one provision led to a series of measures that shaped the coal sector landscape. In 1993, the captive route was opened up for steel, power generation and coal washing for allocations of blocks for public and private sector companies. This was extended for cement sector in 1996 and then for coal gasification and liquefaction 2007. The definition of captive was enhanced further to allow companies that had long term coal supply contracts for the approved end users also to be considered eligible for allocation. The ownership of government owned companies was considered complaint with the Coal Mines Nationalization Act for government dispensation route for commercial mining, which allowed these government owned agencies to mine coal and sell in the market, which no private company was allowed to do. 

The number of coal blocks allocated between 1993 and 2004 reveals that there was not much of demand for coal blocks. The international prices of coal had been range bound from 1977 till 2003 around US Dollar 25-30 in nominal terms, which meant that prices fell in real terms taking into account inflation over the period. Prices in India could not have been higher than global prices, and hence, the CIL prices were low too. As a result, coal input costs were not significant parts of the cost structures for steel or cements manufacturing or power generation. The spur in demand from 2003 onwards led to the international prices to peak, analysts failed again and again in their assessment of coal prices cooling off and stabilizing at much lower prices than they were trading. Coal miners globally became price makers. This boom was also reflected in the demand for coal in domestic market as the economic growth engines needed more and more electricity and power generation capacities were to be added at brisk pace. Domestic prices rose up too leading to coal accounting for 40 to 60% of the final cost of manufacturing or power generation. Now it began to make strategic sense to acquire coal assets for price advantages and supply securities.

Evidence of the rush to acquire coal assets became evident in 2007 round of coal block allocation when for 16 coal blocks identified for power sector in private sector route received 748 applications. The “beauty parade” methodology for allocation was not geared up for handling this situation. The applications focused on the development stages of end use plants, degree of preparedness, size of plant, a few financial parameters of the project developer and on the extraction plans for the mine. These were to be evaluated by a Screening Committee with memberships from a large number of stakeholders. The degree of competition was so high that it became fairly evident that process would fail and there were questions raised in the aftermath of allocations from all quarters.

The methodology of evaluation was sought to be improved. The economics of captive power generation for the manufacturing of metals like aluminium, copper, lead and zinc which are totally market driven were seen to less favoured just as those merchant power plants which purported to keep a larger portion of their generation capacities free and not tied up with long term PPAs. The called in applications for allocation of coal blocks for merchant power plants were not considered with the realization that such could open up a potential for profiteering.

In the subsequent rounds of allocation, the marking scales were devised for quantifying merits. However, as the Supreme Court order of 1st September 2014 observes, the breaches were many for consideration as higher in merit for allocation.

The letters of allocation were evolving too. The earlier ones did not mention the risk of de-allocation and did not require furnishing of any bank guarantees which the later allocations of 2008 onwards did. The earlier ones did not specify the usage of coal middling and washery rejects and the ownership question of these were left unanswered. While the transfer of ownership of coal block or its leasehold was not permitted, the transfer of equity in the holding company with the power generation asset was not covered. Given these, there were chances that coal blocks could be packaged in some form along with the respective end use plant and spun off and sold in the market. As consultants would call these, value could be unlocked.

The challenges of operationalizing these coal blocks began to surface soon enough. Most companies had no experience and expertise in coal mining. They required consultants even for filing in application forms for prospecting licenses and prior approvals for mining leases. Procuring environmental and forest clearances became tougher. Land acquisition turned out to be the most critical milestone, which could not be done phase-wise in view of the new realities and all the land needed to be acquired and possessed at the beginning. Most stakeholders stoked their greed as coal mining projects began to be considered bonanza. 

A whole new industry for mine developer and operators (MDO) evolved, and the contractors that were engaged in overburden removal earlier saw this as the natural extension in their evolution. Since these were newer concepts, risks were not well understood by the owners and the MDOs, leading to unbalanced risk sharing. Due to limited market depth, the MDO agreements appeared to be a good business even with such formulations of project responsibilities and risk sharing. Lot of consulting opportunities were created as well but consultants of several hues mushroomed to compete on lowest-price basis.

The doubts over providing competitive advantages to those allocated with coal blocks and unrestricted potential for profits led the government to make a series of rules. Coal produced from the coal blocks needed regulatory oversight and the power so generated needed to regulate fuel charges. Long term PPAs with state distribution companies were necessitated. These were in view of the electricity market moving largely to tariff based competitive bidding models of Case 1 and Case 2 defined by the Electricity Act, 2003, which obviated the role of electricity regulators in the electricity so procured.

There were flip flops on the front of captive coal blocks having the potential to produce surplus coal, which was expressly restricted but in view of widening gap in the demand and supply of coal, largely due to state-owned CIL not being able to augment capacities quickly, required some measures to tap the reserves in the allocated coal blocks. The proposals ranged from allowing CIL to buy the surplus coal so produced at notified price minus a certain commission to forming a kind of coal-bank where a surplus coal supplied to another project could create a credit in coal and could be redeemed later when coal for the project was available from its own sources.

This was when the CAG report was published.

The analysis can be summed up by saying that labyrinthine policy measures were taken and rules and regulations that added to the layers of complexity were made to fix the problems of the coal sector. The pending Coal Mines Nationalization (Amendment) Bill 2000 that sought to impact the fundamental of coal mining business in India languished.           

Now the Supreme Court has ruled that all the coal blocks allocated except for those for tariff based competitive bidding done for Ultra Mega Power Projects (UMPPs) are illegal. The findings of the Supreme Court have been anticipated and hence, in the last year there was little progress in investments in the coal blocks. The lack of objectivity and transparency in process of allocation has been accepted and the Government of India formulated a policy and mechanism for auction in 2012 through amendment in the MMRD Act and notification of Auction by Competitive Bidding of Coal Mines Rules, 2012. The three coal blocks that were placed for auction in the 2013-14, one each for steel, sponge iron and cement sector received lukewarm response. 

So, now the concerns are primarily on the future of so called illegal allocations done in the past and if the Supreme Court would cancel all allocations as was done for telecom sector 2G spectrum allocations. This looks highly probable since the continuation of coal block allocations done on an illegal framework may not be justifiable, and even if attempted, it would have to be done on the basis of project development, dependence of power plants, investment done and such others, which are similar to the criteria used by the erstwhile Screening Committee and objected to by the Court. The Government of India’s proposal of levying Rupees 295 per tonne for the already mined out coal from the 40 operational mines, in lieu of continued allocation has found favour with the stock markets. The proposal has muted a total of 46 coal blocks that may be favourably considered for their status as operating mines and the 6 others that are likely to start production sooner.

The cancellations will have a telling impact on Indian coal imports and power generation in the near term as this additional shortfall in coal availability will have to be made good by imports. Imports are expensive even though coal prices are lower now than in 2012 but these may rise in view of the additional demand from India. The imports will also add to the misery of already congested infrastructure facilities of ports and railways. For calming the impact of high cost imports on those power plants affected by coal block de-allocation, demand for price pooling is being raised, which may be bring in its own set of challenges. The idea was muted earlier in view of difficulties in apportioning physical high grade imported coal and financial costs over power plants that get entire supply from domestic sources.

It may be admitted that there may be economic sense in allowing the operating mines to continue but legal justification may be tough. But need of the hour is to look beyond the imminent and take corrective measures that can lead to a stable, investor-friendly, innovative and sustainable coal mining sector as it is likely to fuel energy needs of the country for foreseeable future. From that point of view, the Supreme Court ruling, when and if it comes, cancelling all allocations may be considered God sent.

Need to restructure coal industry is critical, essential and also urgent so that power sector may meet the expectation of electricity generation and supplies. The immediate priority for the Government of India should be to ensure that coal supplies are enhanced from domestic production and that the investment environment in power sector improves. The roadmap for opening of coal sector for greater private and foreign participation needs to be drawn, which may include de-nationalization and also creating independent subsidiaries out of Coal India Limited monolith.

The best way forward will be to remove the entry barriers to coal mining and auction the coal blocks through transparent and objective process to independent miners or end users if they desire. Increasing the number of suppliers in the market will not only improve supplies but also make pricing transparent and market driven. It is time that the Coal Mines Nationalization Act is repealed.

The other mechanism for enhancing competition in coal sector that has been mooted is to split Coal India Limited into independent companies. The newspapers report that CIL unions may not resist such a move. However, looking at the fact that the subsidiaries are still monopolies in their geographies and these subsidiaries were created based on coalfields, and also that these may still be controlled by the Ministry, the mechanism of competition may not help. It is also noteworthy that marketing function of Coal India Limited and its subsidiaries are restricted and coal linkages are provided by Standing Linkage Committee, which is a multi-ministerial and multi-stakeholder body constitute by the Ministry of Coal. Under these circumstances, competitive forces in the proposed liberated subsidiaries will still be dormant and negligible. To make splitting of CIL effective, it needs to be supplemented with large scale stake sale of each of these subsidiaries; mostly to the public should outright privatization be politically unpalatable. Government may still be in control but large floating public shareholding will enhance accountability of the Boards of Directors and help competition.  
Through the transition of coal sector from the current state to market oriented with private and foreign participation state, the Coal Regulator may play a crucial role. The framework for the regulator is already in place but needs to be strengthened in scope.

Short term challenges of the domestic supply of coal will persist since the projects that CIL has planned may need quicker permissions and development of infrastructure for coal evacuation.  But with strategic roadmap laid for the turnaround of the sector will pave the way for reducing import dependence and create a vibrant domestic market.